NQ Direction Analyzer

The Projected Path (Cyan Line)

This is the model's best estimate of where NQ price will be at each 30-minute interval throughout the trading day. It is calculated using the adjusted directional score, historical volatility (ATR), and typical intraday price patterns. A line trending above the orange reference means the model expects a net bullish day; below means bearish.

The Shaded Confidence Band

The blue-shaded area between the bull and bear case lines represents the expected price range. A narrower band indicates higher model confidence in the projected direction. A wider band signals more uncertainty — price could swing significantly either way. The band naturally widens as the day progresses due to accumulating volatility.

Bull & Bear Case Scenarios

The green dashed line shows the optimistic scenario where bullish factors outperform expectations. The red dashed line shows the pessimistic scenario. These aren't hard limits — price can exceed these boundaries — but they represent roughly one standard deviation of expected movement from the projected path.

How Traders Can Use This

Use the projected close and direction to establish a daily bias. If price is trading near the bull case early in the day, consider taking profits or tightening stops. If price dips toward the bear case but the overall bias remains bullish, it may present a buying opportunity. Always cross-reference with the key levels (Bullish Above / Bearish Below) shown above.